May
13 -- In 2001, Generac Power Systems joined the wave of American companies
shifting production to China. The move wiped out 400 jobs in southeast
Wisconsin, but few could argue with management's logic: Chinese companies were
offering to make a key component for $100 per unit less than the cost of
producing it in the U.S.
Now,
however, Generac has brought manufacturing of that component back to its
Whitewater plant — creating about 80 jobs in this town of about 14,500 people.
The
move is part of a sea change in American manufacturing: After three decades of
an exodus of production to China and other low-wage countries, companies have
sharply curtailed moves abroad. Some, like Generac, have begun to return
manufacturing to U.S. shores.
Although
no one keeps precise statistics, the retreat from offshoring is clear from
various sources, including federal data on assistance to workers hurt by
overseas moves.
U.S.
factory payrolls have grown for four straight years, with gains totaling about
650,000 jobs. That's a small fraction of the 6 million lost in the previous
decade, but it still marks the biggest and longest stretch of manufacturing
increases in a quarter century.
Harry
Moser, an MIT-trained engineer who tracks the inflow of jobs, estimates that
last year marked the first time since the offshoring trend began that factory
jobs returning to the U.S. matched the number lost, at about 40,000 each.
"Offshoring
and 're-shoring' were roughly in balance — I call that victory," said
Moser, who traces his interest in manufacturing to his parents' work at the
long-closed Singer Sewing Machine plant in New Jersey. (He once worked there
too.)
He
now runs the Reshoring Initiative, a Chicago nonprofit that works with
companies to bring manufacturing jobs back to the U.S.
Several
factors lie behind the change.
Over
the last decade, Chinese labor and transportation costs have jumped while U.S.
wages have stagnated. The average hourly pay for non-supervisory manufacturing
workers in the U.S. has barely kept up with inflation, rising on average just
2.3% over the last 10 years and by only half that since 2010, according to
Labor Department figures.
Factoring
in the rise in value of its currency, China's base wage, measured in dollars,
has risen 17% a year, according to an April report by Boston Consulting Group.
Manufacturing
also has become more automated, further reducing labor's weight in the cost
equation.
The
boom in natural gas production in the U.S., largely driven by fracking and
other new drilling techniques, has led to a 25% decrease in gas prices in the
U.S., contrasted with a 138% increase in China, Boston Consulting found.
And
the rise of online commerce has made local control of supply chains more
important, especially because many U.S. manufacturers report growing problems
with quality control of goods made in China.
"We
got to the point where everything we were bringing in had to be
inspected," says Lonnie Kane, president of Los Angeles apparel maker Karen
Kane, noting that his company used to check just 10% of goods from China.
"Now
prices are escalating, quality is dropping and deliveries are being
delayed," he says. In the last three years, Kane has shifted 80% of his
production from China back home.
Expansion
in the domestic apparel industry remains unusual because the labor-intensive
work can be done in many low-wage countries. But in other industries, a growing
number of domestic and foreign companies — including General Electric,
Caterpillar, Toyota and Siemens — are opting to build or expand their
facilities in the U.S., particularly in the Southeast, where labor costs are
relatively low.
The
main reason companies relocate out of California to places like Texas is the
average home price in Dallas is $192,000 versus the average home price in Los
Angeles which is over $500,000. The difference in taxes in minor compared to a
corporations ability to hire the same worker in Texas who...
For
the first time, some small contract manufacturers in the U.S. are beating
bigger rivals in Asia, the center of global industrial production.
At
Zentech Manufacturing in Baltimore, the company's president, Matt Turpin,
recalls his skepticism when salesmen told him two years ago about their efforts
to land a contract making 5,000 to 10,000 wireless printers. He was sure an
overseas competitor would get the work.
"I
don't know why you're wasting your time chasing that business," he says he
told the sales force.
Zentech
ultimately won the contract, and Turpin says the company added at least five
full-time employees to his shop, where the front office window is draped with a
large American flag.
William
Davidson, a test technician at Zentech, now earns $17.50 an hour working on
those printers and other company products. Before getting hired at Zentech
three years ago, Davidson, 62, had been unemployed for 18 months. His previous
employer, a Delaware repairer of cable boxes, had moved its operations to
Mexico.
"The
worst part of it was we had to help them pack things up for the move," he
says.
Here
in Wisconsin, a similar story has played out with Generac.
Aaron
Jagdfeld, the company's chief executive, was the comptroller at the time of the
offshoring. Jagdfeld, now 42, had grown up in the region and graduated from the
University of Wisconsin at Whitewater with an accounting degree.
The
offshoring "didn't feel right" because of the families affected by
layoffs, he said, but the company needed to make the move to remain
competitive.
Generac
grew rapidly over most of the rest of the decade. Its sales rose to $1.5 billion
last year, and it now has about 3,300 workers, including 720 in Whitewater, its
largest plant. But the last decade also saw costs surge in China while they
increased little in the U.S.
What
began as a $100 gap in the cost of producing an alternator narrowed as the
Chinese yuan jumped in value and Chinese wages and other costs soared.
The
tipping point came when Generac had enough sales to justify investing millions
of dollars in new equipment for the Whitewater plant. The company can now
produce an alternator with one worker in the time it took four workers in
China.
Although
a small price gap remains, Jagdfeld figured that having greater control over
delivery would make up the difference.
More
frequent power outages —from Hurricane Katrina and Superstorm Sandy, not to
mention this past winter's ice storm in the South — have brought bursts of
orders for portable generators, challenging the company's inventory and
delivery capabilities.
"We
were constantly fighting a battle for what product was needed, and we were
always guessing wrong," Jagdfeld said. "We kept saying, 'If we could
just control the alternator, we'd have a better opportunity to respond more
effectively.'"
Those
sorts of calculations lead experts who have studied reshoring to see potential
— particularly for makers of appliances, transportation equipment, electronics
and machinery — to return jobs to the U.S.
Led
by these industries, 21% of large manufacturers in the U.S. said they were
already returning production or would do so over the next two years, according
to a survey Boston Consulting conducted last summer.
"In
2012, companies told me 'you're crazy,'" said Hal Sirkin, a senior partner
at the consulting group's office in Chicago. "Now they're doing it — maybe
not all the way, but they're testing the waters."
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